Case File 001 SUBJECT: TRADER A  ·  FUNDEDNEXT  ·  AUG 2024 – JAN 2026

The Trading
Research Lab

Most trading content explains concepts you can find anywhere. This is the opposite. We take real broker data from real prop firm careers and study what actually happened, one trade at a time. The first investigation dissects 1,797 trades. Every number on this page traces back to a published study.

1,797
Real trades analysed
12
Prop firm accounts
17
Months of data
$5,648
Documented P&L swing
Why this exists

Original data beats another explainer.

Search engines and readers are drowning in trading articles that say the same thing in a different order. What does not exist anywhere else is the careful study of a single real career, with the trade log opened up and read like evidence.

This lab is that work. One anonymised trader handed over a complete export: 1,797 trades across 12 FundedNext accounts, spanning August 2024 to January 2026. We rebuilt the career trade by trade and asked one question of every pattern: what would have changed if a single structural rule had been in place from day one?

The answers became the studies below. The tool lets you run them yourself.

Real data
Every figure comes from an actual broker export. Nothing is illustrative or invented.
Traceable
Each headline number links to the full study that produced it. The source is one click away.
Replicable
The method works on any trade log. We show you how to run it on your own.
Honest
Findings are true for one trader, not universal laws. The limits are stated plainly.
The Instrument

The Interactive Trader A Tracker

A working laboratory built on top of a real career. Toggle six rules on and off and watch 1,797 trades and 12 accounts recalculate in real time. As far as we know, the first tool of its kind.

Live · Free · No login

Run the counterfactuals yourself

Every rule corresponds to a study in the series. Flip a switch and the equity curve redraws, the headline P&L recalculates, and the 12 accounts repaint their pass or breach status. The full dataset loads into your browser and never leaves your machine.

  • The headline card — actual vs filtered career P&L, with the swing between them.
  • The equity curve — the real career in red, the rule-filtered career in gold, overlaid.
  • The 12-account grid — every account repaints PASSED, BREACHED, SAVED or RECOVERED.
  • Six rules, five presets — including the Top 3 stack and the single most powerful rule.
Open the tracker →
// Headline readout
−$3,103
Actual career
+$5,813
Top 3 rules
+$7,095
Hold rule alone
The Investigation · Inside 1,797 Trades

The Studies

Eleven forensic studies on one trader's career. Each isolates a single pattern in the data and measures what it cost or could have saved. Read them in order, or jump to the one that names your own bad habit.

STUDY 01Risk
$29,633

The stop-loss that would have saved $29,633

What a single hard-stop discipline would have done across the entire career. The largest preventable number in the dataset.

Read the study →
STUDY 02Psychology
36 min

The 36-minute autopsy

How one trader lost two funded accounts inside a single hour. A minute-by-minute reconstruction of a tilt session.

Read the study →
STUDY 03Risk
9-for-10

You can go 9-for-10 and still blow the account

Why win rate barely predicts a prop firm pass, and what actually does. The first ten trades tell a different story.

Read the study →
STUDY 04Risk
6 vs 6

Same trader, same strategy: 6 passed, 6 breached

Twelve accounts, one method, opposite outcomes. What separated the survivors from the casualties.

Read the study →
STUDY 05Psychology
$10,198

The hold-time paradox

One mechanical rule, a 60-minute minimum hold, worth $10,198 in real data. The single most powerful filter in the series.

Read the study →
STUDY 06Psychology
Friday

The Friday anomaly

Why Trader A's only consistently profitable day was the one retail traders fear most, and what that reveals.

Read the study →
STUDY 07Psychology
22 trades

The 22-trade spiral

What 22 minutes of self-destruction looks like inside the order book. The anatomy of a tilt cascade, trade by trade.

Read the study →
STUDY 08Risk
$7,048

The $7,048 cost of trading the wrong markets

What 1,797 trades reveal about asset selection. Where the edge lived, and where it quietly bled out.

Read the study →
STUDY 09Psychology
The clock

A winning trader who traded at the wrong time

The original timing study. A profitable edge dismantled by the hours it was deployed in. The finding that started the series.

Read the study →
STUDY 10Synthesis
+$5,648

From −$3,103 to +$2,545

The full rule stack applied to the whole career. A $5,648 swing achieved by removing 83% of the trades. Less, done right.

Read the study →
STUDY 11The Tool
Live

How to use the interactive tracker

The walkthrough: six rules, five presets, five experiments worth running, and how to run the same analysis on your own log.

Read the guide →
The punchlines

What the data actually showed

$29,633
Saved by one stop rule
The single largest preventable loss across the career.
$10,198
From a 60-minute hold floor
The most powerful single rule in the dataset.
+$7,095
Hold rule, in isolation
−$3,103 becomes +$7,095 with one filter.
69.9%
Win rate, Top 3 stack
379 surviving trades on the best three rules.
83%
Of trades removed
The swing came from trading far less, not more.
$7,048
Lost to the wrong markets
Edge existed in some instruments, not others.
The transferable part

The method is the lesson.

The specific numbers belong to Trader A. A different trader with different instruments, hours, and psychology produces different numbers. What transfers is the process. Run it on your own broker export and you will find your own version of these rules.

Here is the exact seven-step workflow the studies are built on.

"More rules are not better rules. The right rules are."
  1. Export your trade history

    At least six months of closed trades, ideally a year. Most brokers and prop firms allow a CSV export.

  2. Add six columns

    Hour of day, day of week, hold time in minutes, instrument, whether a stop was attached, and net P&L per trade.

  3. Run pivot tables

    Group trades by each dimension. Calculate win rate and total P&L for every group. Look for where expectancy collapses.

  4. Find your three worst splits

    The hour, the hold band, the instrument where your edge dies. Three is enough to start.

  5. Write three mechanical rules

    One per worst split. No judgement calls. "I do not exit positions in under 30 minutes."

  6. Stress-test retroactively

    Apply the rules to your history and compute the swing. A real edge problem moves the career by more than 50%.

  7. Run them forward 30 days

    No exceptions. Then pull fresh data, recompute, and iterate. This is the loop.

Live research

What's being built next

The retrospective phase is complete. The lab now turns forward, from studying a past career to running a documented experiment in the present tense.

From Mon, 22 June 2026

The Prop Firm Rulebook

25 rules synthesised from the ten forensic studies, the two CTE books, and the wider library. Rolled out across eight posts in four phases: Mind, Method, Money, and prop-firm-specific.

// Lands as a downloadable PDF, Mon 6 July
From Mon, 20 July 2026

The Trader B Diary

A brand new funded account, traded live under the rulebook. Every trade, every rule violation, every confirmation, documented in public. The experiment that tests whether the framework survives contact with a real market.

// The framework, applied in the present tense
Exploring

Bring your own CSV

A future mode for the tracker that lets you upload your own trade history and run the same six-rule counterfactual analysis on your own career, locally in the browser.

// Not in the current release
Questions

About the research

Is this real trading data?

Yes. Every figure comes from one anonymised trader's actual broker export: 1,797 trades across 12 FundedNext prop firm accounts, August 2024 to January 2026. Nothing on this page is illustrative or invented.

Whose trades are these?

An anonymised real trader we refer to as Trader A. The account numbers and personal identity are withheld; the trade-level data is genuine and forms the basis of every study and the live tracker.

Do the findings apply to my trading?

The specific rule swings are true for Trader A, not universal laws. A different strategy, schedule, and psychology will produce different numbers. The value is the method: run the same analysis on your own log and you will find your own rules. The seven-step workflow above shows you how.

Is the tracker free?

Yes. It runs entirely in your browser with no login and no data collection. The dataset loads locally and never leaves your machine. Use it as much as you like and share it freely.

Why does removing 83% of trades improve the result?

Because most of the career's losses were concentrated in identifiable conditions: wrong hours, wrong instruments, trades held too briefly. Filtering those out leaves a smaller, far higher-quality set. Less trading, done in the right conditions, beat more trading.

Start here

Open the lab.

Run the counterfactuals on a real career, then learn the method well enough to run them on your own.

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