Missed Trades: Why Reviewing the Setups You Didn’t Take Makes You a Better Trader

6 min read

Reviewing the trades you did not take is the fastest way to find out whether your problem is your setups or your execution. A journal that only records filled trades shows you half the picture. The setups you saw and skipped, hesitated on, or never noticed hold the other half, and for many traders that half is where the money leaks.

Brett Steenbarger made this point again this week in the first post of his Best Practices in Trading series. Drawing on his work with prop and hedge fund traders, he separates the average trader, who keeps a journal, from the better trader, who sets goals from it, and from the great trader, who also reviews the market itself: the opportunities the day offered and how they could have been captured. This guide turns that idea into a missed-trade review you can run every week.

Why Missed Trades Belong in Your Review

Your trade log is a filtered sample. It only contains the setups you were confident enough, or impulsive enough, to take. If you hesitate on your best patterns and jump on your worst ones, your win rate and expectancy will describe your hesitation, not your edge.

A missed-trade log fixes the sample. Once you record the valid setups you passed on alongside the ones you traded, three questions become answerable:

  • Does my setup actually work, or does it only look good on the trades I chose to take?
  • Am I skipping a particular type of setup, time of day or market condition?
  • Is my problem recognition (I did not see it) or execution (I saw it and did not act)?

Those are different problems with different fixes. Without the missed trades in the data, they look the same.

The Four Kinds of Missed Trade

Not every missed trade is a mistake. Sorting them is the whole point of the exercise, because each category points to a different part of the M·M·M framework.

Type What happened Pillar Fix
1. Correct pass The move happened, but it did not meet your rules (wrong session, no confirmation, risk too wide) Method None. Log it as discipline, not a miss
2. Hesitation You saw a valid setup, it met your rules, and you did not pull the trigger Mind Find the trigger: recent loss, size too big, doubt about the rules
3. Unclear rules You could not tell in real time whether it qualified Method Tighten the written definition until a yes/no answer takes seconds
4. Not seen The setup formed and you never noticed it (wrong chart, away from screen, too many markets) Method / Money Fewer instruments, alerts at key levels, a fixed watchlist

Type 1 is the one traders forget to count. A move you correctly stayed out of is a win for your process, even if it ran a long way without you. Treating it as a mistake teaches you to break your own rules.

How to Log Missed Trades

Keep the missed-trade log next to your normal trade journal, with the same fields where possible, so the two can be compared directly. You do not need much:

Field What to record
Date, time, instrument Same format as your trade log
Setup name The name from your playbook (for example, FVG retest, liquidity sweep reversal)
Hypothetical entry, stop, target Where your rules would have put them, decided by the rules, not by hindsight
Outcome in R What the trade would have returned in multiples of risk, including losers
Type (1–4) From the table above
One line on why “Down 2R on the day, didn’t want another loss” is more useful than “missed it”

Two rules keep the log honest. First, record missed trades that would have lost as well as the ones that would have won. If you only log the winners you skipped, the log becomes a list of regrets and every number in it is inflated. Second, mark entries, stops and targets from your written rules, ideally the same day. Plotting them after you know the result invites hindsight: you will place the stop just beyond the wick that would have taken you out.

If you already track R-multiples and maximum adverse excursion on live trades, record them for missed trades too. It keeps the comparison like-for-like.

The Weekly Missed-Trade Review

Add this as one extra block to the weekly review you already run (the structure is in our guide on how to review your trades). Twenty minutes is enough.

Step 1: Scan the week’s charts for your setups (10 minutes)

Go back through the sessions you trade, on your execution timeframe, and mark every instance of your playbook setups. Not every big move: only the ones your rules would have caught. This is the part Steenbarger describes as reviewing the market rather than only your performance. Compare the marks with your trade log. Anything marked but not traded goes into the missed-trade log.

Step 2: Classify and score (5 minutes)

Give each one a type from 1 to 4 and an outcome in R. Then put three numbers side by side:

  • Average R of the setups you took.
  • Average R of the valid setups you missed (types 2, 3 and 4).
  • Average R of all valid setups combined.

If the missed setups average more than the taken ones, your selection is costing you: you are filtering out good trades, usually on feel. If they average less, your discretion is adding value and you should understand what you are seeing that your rules do not yet capture.

Step 3: Pick one pattern to work on (5 minutes)

Look for the repeat. Hesitation after a loss, setups missed in the first hour, the same setup on one instrument but not another. Write one specific change for next week, for example: “If the setup meets all four rules, I take it at half size, even after a losing trade.” One change per week. More than that and you will not know which one worked.

The short version.

Log every valid setup you see, traded or not. Score the missed ones in R using your rules, not hindsight. Sort them into correct passes, hesitation, unclear rules and not seen. Then fix one thing a week. Your edge is the average of all valid setups, not just the ones you were brave enough to take.

Missed Trades and Pattern Recognition

Steenbarger’s wider argument is that great traders spend roughly as much time learning as trading, and that this deliberate review is what sharpens their pattern recognition and helps them notice when market behaviour changes. Missed trades are useful raw material for that because there are more of them than filled trades, and they arrive without the emotional charge of money on the line.

A practical way to use them: once a week, take two or three of the clearest missed setups and replay them bar by bar on the chart, as if live. Note the moment the setup became valid, what confirmed it, and what you were doing at that time. You are training recognition speed, so the next instance looks familiar sooner. This is the same idea behind the “one lesson a day” habit he recommends in The Daily Trading Coach, and the deliberate-practice case he makes in Enhancing Trader Performance.

The Counterweight: When Missed-Trade Review Backfires

Reviewing what you missed can make things worse if it is done badly. Watch for these:

  • It feeds FOMO. If the review leaves you thinking about the money you “lost”, the likely next step is chasing the next move late. A missed trade costs nothing. If you notice the urge to make it back, stop the review and read our guide on revenge trading, FOMO and overtrading.
  • Hindsight makes everything look obvious. On a finished chart, the right trade jumps out. In real time it sat among several setups that failed. This is why the log needs the missed losers as well as the missed winners.
  • It widens your playbook by accident. Logging every big move you missed, instead of only the setups your rules define, slowly turns “I should have caught that” into new, untested setups. Only log what your written rules would have flagged.
  • It eats your screen time. If the review takes longer than your trading, cut it to the three clearest misses.

Mind, Method, Money: What Missed Trades Tell You

Mind. Hesitation misses (type 2) are almost always a confidence or fear problem. The usual causes are a recent losing streak, size that feels too big, or not fully trusting the setup. Write down what you were feeling when you passed.

Method. Unclear-rule misses (type 3) mean your playbook needs sharper definitions. If you cannot decide in seconds whether a setup qualifies, you will either hesitate or improvise. Our trading plan template has space for exact entry criteria.

Money. Missing good setups after losses is often a sizing problem in disguise. If one more loss feels unaffordable, risk per trade is too high for your psychology. Dropping to 1% or less usually brings hesitation down with it. The position size calculator makes that quick to check.

Go Deeper

The missed-trade log works best inside a full journal process. Start with our complete trading journal system, and if you would rather have the review done for you, see how to use AI to review your trading journal each week. The full Mind · Method · Money framework behind both is in The Complete Trader’s Edge.

Louw van Riet
Written by
Louw van Riet
Author · Trader · Coach

Louw is the author of The Complete Trader's Edge — a 70-chapter trading framework covering psychology, technical analysis, ICT concepts, and professional risk management. He has spent years studying institutional price action across forex, indices, and crypto, and built this platform to provide the complete, honest trading education he wished existed when he started.

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